Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.038563 0.041930 0.045319 0.048980 0.052816 0.056712 0.060961
2025-11-02 0.031733 0.036583 0.041631 0.047254 0.053321 0.059645 0.066716
2025-11-09 0.027283 0.033187 0.039522 0.046770 0.054779 0.063309 0.073032
2025-11-16 0.023864 0.030533 0.037890 0.046509 0.056234 0.066780 0.078994
2025-11-23 0.022069 0.029489 0.037869 0.047880 0.059365 0.071996 0.086806
2025-11-30 0.020418 0.028433 0.037688 0.048941 0.062046 0.076636 0.093925
2025-12-07 0.018795 0.027259 0.037242 0.049586 0.064161 0.080571 0.100202
2025-12-14 0.017108 0.025864 0.036417 0.049682 0.065554 0.083616 0.105418
2025-12-21 0.016153 0.025304 0.036535 0.050847 0.068156 0.088024 0.112174
2025-12-28 0.014395 0.023584 0.035117 0.050059 0.068364 0.089587 0.115599
2026-01-04 0.013271 0.022615 0.034575 0.050286 0.069742 0.092486 0.120548
2026-01-11 0.012456 0.022003 0.034439 0.050980 0.071655 0.095996 0.126200
2026-01-18 0.011641 0.021362 0.034259 0.051631 0.073552 0.099542 0.131977
2026-01-25 0.009999 0.019432 0.032290 0.049931 0.072489 0.099503 0.133482
2026-02-01 0.008956 0.018295 0.031322 0.049468 0.072928 0.101248 0.137093
2026-02-08 0.008079 0.017338 0.030548 0.049217 0.073599 0.103253 0.141002
2026-02-15 0.007808 0.017304 0.031047 0.050645 0.076404 0.107875 0.148078
2026-02-22 0.007459 0.017116 0.031311 0.051748 0.078788 0.111981 0.154537
2026-03-01 0.007009 0.016730 0.031267 0.052417 0.080604 0.115381 0.160143
2026-03-08 0.006434 0.016091 0.030823 0.052518 0.081665 0.117833 0.164588
2026-03-15 0.006196 0.016009 0.031188 0.053723 0.084164 0.122083 0.171241
2026-03-22 0.005463 0.014997 0.030123 0.052908 0.083987 0.122961 0.173739
2026-03-29 0.005041 0.014509 0.029822 0.053143 0.085181 0.125554 0.178347